Question 1
EasyA city installed new park lights in May. Bike theft reports dropped in June, so a council member says the lights caused the decline.
A post hoc fallacy happens when someone assumes one event caused another just because it happened first. This interactive guide gives you post hoc ergo propter hoc examples, evidence checks, and practice questions for separating sequence from causation.
Use these false cause fallacy examples to test causal claims in politics, media, workplaces, schools, and everyday health advice.
Want to watch causal claims collide in live arguments? Visit the main AI Bot Debate arena.
Filter by context, search for a topic, and open any card to compare the event sequence with the causal claim. Each example includes missing evidence, a better question, and a fair response.
The fastest way to test a post hoc argument is to slow down the timeline and ask what else could explain the later result.
Separate the event that happened first from the outcome that happened later.
State exactly what the speaker says caused what, without adding extra assumptions.
Look for trends, comparison groups, natural recovery, outside events, or measurement changes.
Request evidence that explains how the first event produced the later outcome.
Choose the best diagnosis for each scenario, then submit to see where sequence alone is too weak.
Question 1
EasyA city installed new park lights in May. Bike theft reports dropped in June, so a council member says the lights caused the decline.
Question 2
MediumTwo similar classrooms tried different reading routines. Only the class using the new routine improved after eight weeks.
Question 3
EasyA person drank a special tea after getting a headache. The headache faded an hour later, so they say the tea cured it.
Question 4
HardA campaign says unemployment fell after a speech, so the speech caused the improvement.
Question 5
HardA server outage started three minutes after a deployment. Logs show the deployment changed the database connection string and every failing request used the bad value.
The post hoc fallacy happens when someone assumes that because one event happened before another, the first event caused the second.
Post hoc ergo propter hoc means after this, therefore because of this. It names the mistake of treating sequence as proof of causation.
A simple example is saying a lucky shirt caused a team to win because the win happened after wearing it. The timing alone does not prove the shirt caused the result.
Ask for a causal mechanism, compare similar cases where the first event did not happen, and check whether other explanations fit the same timeline.
No. Before-and-after evidence can be useful when paired with comparison data, mechanism evidence, and controls for alternative explanations.
Paste full arguments to scan for post hoc, false cause, straw man, and other fallacies.
Open toolStudy weak sample-size arguments and learn how to ask for better evidence.
Open toolPractice spotting arguments that dodge the issue by changing the subject.
Open tool